Check this page every Thursday afternoon to find out which player Jam!'s
John Powell thinks will get the axe at Tribal Council. Also, review the
'Tale of the Torch' section at the bottom of the page for the latest news
and rumours on who will survive and who won't.
Powell's 'Palau' Series Pick Ratio: 16 for 17
Episode 14: (May 15th, 2005): "The Ultimate Shock"
Official CBS Internet promo: "The final four castaways begin to rethink their strategies when a once solid alliance unravels with the slip of a tongue. In the aftermath of an emotional Tribal Council, arguments abound, feelings are hurt and friendships are questioned. A shocking development during the final Immunity Challenge promises to go down in Survivor history. Tears and harsh words fuel a tense session between the jury and the final two castaways. Who will win and become the Ultimate Survivor?"
Official CBS Television promo: " Probst: Next time on Survivor...The foursome celebrate with champagne back at camp. Probst: With three days left...Katie: We were able to enjoy each other even though we are about to slit each other's throats. Probst: The drama intensifies. Ian to Tom: I told them I was going to vote you off. Tom: Okay. That's all I needed to know. Join us for the two hour finale and find out who will be the Sole Survivor."
Finale Predictions – Finishes, jury votes
Koror Tribe
Contestant |
Prediction |
Finale Status |
TOM WESTMAN
|
It was his game to lose as soon as he successfully avoided being targeted as a strong and athletic player. He is largely responsible for Koror’s dominance over Ulong throughout the series and most of his former tribemates probably realized that during their stay on Loser Island as they reflected on how the game played itself out. The weak members of Koror who rode the coat-tails of Tom and the others know in their heart of hearts why Ulong was so dominant and why they made it so far as individuals in the game. One very positive aspect of how Tom played ‘Survivor’ is that he cannot be held personally responsible for how the majority of the jurors members exited the game. Their losses cannot be placed entirely on his shoulders and therefore the personal animosity they have might not come into play when casting their votes.
|
The Sole Survivor
|
KATIE GALLAGHER
|
A do-nothing floater who lucked into the Final Two position. In other editions, she would’ve been sent packing for the alliance flip-flopping she has pulled. The final phase is all about trust and Katie has proven to almost everyone that they cannot count on her. The reasons she was permitted to stick around are…1. Tom needed to keep Ian on his side. Ditching Katie might have upset Ian. 2. Tom probably understood that he is sitting pretty if he is in front of the jury with Katie. All Katie can do in pleading her case to the jury is play off of Tom’s bad points as she virtually has no positives things to say about her own game play. She might be able to score some votes this way but those who have half a brain in their heads will see right through Katie’s weak arguments.
|
Second Place
|
IAN ROSENBERGER
|
Rumours abound that the shock during the Final Immunity Challenge could be Ian either quitting the game entirely or surrendering his Final Two spot to Katie. It could also be that the winner doesn’t get to pick who they take to the finals but instead the first person out of the Final Immunity Challenge is toast. Tom will probably score the final Immunity Necklace and in doing so, he knows he can’t possibly take Ian to the finals with him when Katie is in the mix. Tom’s odds of winning are better with Katie. Tom has played to win from the very start and isn’t afraid to sacrifice anyone to achieve that goal.
|
Third Place
|
JENNIFER LYON
|
She can’t win a challenge to save her life and at this point, players have to unless they have a strong alliance to protect them. Since Katie is sticking with Tom and Ian, Jenn has no alliance partner and has been left twisting in the wind. She is outside the Koror’s Final Three Alliance.
|
Fourth Place
|
Palau Jury Voting Predictions
Contestant |
Reason booted |
Voting attitude |
IAN ROSENBERGER
|
Unsure. Quits or loses Final Immunity? |
Hard to predict since we don’t know how the end game plays out. It is a tough call. He did take Tom on the Reward but he felt guilty when Katie confronted him. If he quits the game for Katie, he will vote for her. If not, he will stick with Tom.
VOTE: UNSURE |
JENNIFER LYON
|
Not part of the Final Three Alliance. Can’t win Challenges. |
Though she had her disagreements with Tom and a friendship with Katie, I am guessing she will reward Tom for his gameplay. Since she probably hung around with Gregg a ton while on Loser Island, she might vote with him.
VOTE: TOM |
CARYN GROEDEL
|
Flip-flopped alliances. Not member of core Koror alliance. |
Yeah, she called Tom a “liar” at Tribal Council but we must not forget, the person she was really targeting with her outburst was Ian and the way he dealt with Katie not Tom. Even if ticked, she will vote Tom as she recognizes that Katie contributed absolutely nothing when it comes to camp life or Koror’s dominance over Ulong. She is the person most likely to go on a tirade at the final Tribal Council.
VOTE: TOM |
GREGG CAREY
|
Tried to form a rival alliance. Alliance/romance with Jennifer. Immunity Challenge threat. |
He will blame Ian for his boot. He will vote Tom and may be able to convince Jenn to do so as well, if she hadn’t already decided to.
VOTE: TOM |
STEPHENIE LaGROSSA
|
A challenge threat. The last Ulong and an outsider. |
When she was kicked, Tom explained why he had to do so and Steph was pretty accepting of his reasoning. She respects Tom and as an athlete herself, she will honour his game play with her vote.
VOTE: TOM |
JANU TORNELL
|
Laid down her torch. Quit the game. |
My guess? She will pick whomever Coby does but...she hates Katie after that bitter verbal sparring match.
VOTE: TOM. |
COBY ARCHA
|
Devious plotter, drama queen. |
He made no bones about…1. Not liking how Tom, Ian and Gregg didn’t take him seriously. 2. How disgusted he was with how the women of the tribe contributed very little. Coby seems to be fair-minded. He will punish Katie for being slothful, an issue he commented on many, many times on the series.
VOTE: TOM |
Loser Lodge: Non-Jury
